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8th Pay Commission 2025–26: What Happened and What Salary Changes Are Expected

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8th Pay Commission Developments in 2025

In 2025, the Government of India took formal steps toward setting up the 8th Central Pay Commission. This commission has been constituted to review the salary structure, allowances, and pension benefits of central government employees and pensioners. The government also issued the Terms of Reference, defining the scope and responsibilities of the commission.

The decision marks the beginning of the process to replace the 7th Pay Commission, whose tenure will end on 31 December 2025, completing its standard ten-year cycle. With the formation of the new commission, expectations among employees and pensioners have increased regarding future pay revisions.

Is the 8th Pay Commission Effective from 1 January 2026?

There is widespread discussion that 1 January 2026 could be the effective date for the 8th Pay Commission. However, the government has not officially confirmed that salary and pension hikes will start from this date.

According to official statements, the implementation date will be decided only after the commission submits its final recommendations. The commission has been given around 18 months to prepare its report, which means final recommendations may be submitted sometime in 2027.

Expected Salary and Pension Changes

Government employees and pensioners are expecting revisions in basic pay, dearness allowance, and pension amounts. While immediate implementation in 2026 appears unlikely, it is expected that once approved, the revised pay structure could be considered effective from January 2026, with arrears paid later.

Based on earlier pay commissions and expert estimates, salary and pension increases could range between 20 percent and 35 percent, depending on the recommendations and financial feasibility.

Role of the Fitment Factor

The fitment factor plays a crucial role in determining revised salaries. It is a multiplier applied to the existing basic pay to calculate the new salary. Under the 7th Pay Commission, the fitment factor was 2.57.

For the 8th Pay Commission, estimates suggest the fitment factor may fall between 2.4 and 3.0, which could lead to a substantial increase in take-home pay for employees and higher pensions for retirees.

What to Expect Going Forward

While employees may not see immediate changes in their salary from January 2026, the long-term outlook remains positive. Once the commission submits its report and the government approves it, revised salaries and pensions are expected to be implemented with retrospective effect.

The next major milestone will be the submission of recommendations by the commission, followed by cabinet approval and official notification.

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